Future Communications Eliminates Base Stations

Can we predict 5G base stations by 2030?

We linked these provincial base stations with provincial Gross Domestic Product (GDP), population (POP), and big data development level (BDDL) and established a statistical model to predict 5G base stations by 2030. The model predicted 2–5 million 5G base stations by 2030, considerably lower than the business-projected base station number.

How many base stations are there in 2030?

As a result, the model predicted a maximum base station number of 2.97 million in 2030 under the BDDL of 59.2 % in scenario S2 using 2021 provincial data. This number is considerably smaller than the business-projected base stations (6 million) (Fig. 4 a).

How many 5G base stations are there?

These predicted station numbers are considerably smaller than the business-projected 6-million stations, even for the BDDL = 100 % case under the S2 scenario that yielded the number of 5G base stations at 5.03 million, still one million smaller than the business-estimated 5G base stations. This number, however, is implausible.

What are the correlation coefficients between provincial 5G base station numbers?

The correlation coefficients between these three variables and the provincial 5G base station numbers are r = 0.91 (p < 0.01), 0.74 (p < 0.01), and 0.80 (p < 0.01), respectively (Table S1).